Something big, very big, is happening. World is changing. Bahahaha, you'll say: this is nothing new. Actually it's not. But now it's accelerating a bit.
Lately, hundreds of analysts have published their own visions of what could happen in the few next months and years. Opinions are raining over us as monsoons, but on the same we cannot control the seasonal changes in atmospheric circulation and precipitations, we cannot put a curb on what is happening in North Africa. Models used for weather forecast works pretty well. Models for Climate Change are quite controversial. Models for social uprisings and human behaviours... are still a bunch of conjectures.
Mahmoud Al-Nakou says, in his article published today in The Guardian:
Hundreds of thousands of Libyans have studied and lived in the UK, Europe and the US in the decades since oil was discovered, and those highly educated individuals yearn for a productive, co-operative and collaborative relationship with the west. Make no mistake, post-Gaddafi Libya will require a healthy link with western governments and companies to benefit from their technology, skills and expertise, while the west needs our immense natural and mineral riches.
[...]The fear expressed by some international commentators that Libya will fall into the hands of extremists is totally unfounded. The very nature of Libyan society will not allow it. There is little doubt that Islam as a faith, culture and identity runs strongly through our heritage and tradition, but violence and extremism are foreign. Indeed, Gaddafi had to bring hordes of mercenaries from other African countries to carry out orders that Libyan police and army refused. Rather, it is the Turkish model of government that most Libyans aspire to; where Islamic ethics and values enrich endeavours to achieve democracy, justice, freedom and development.
One optimistic forecast. I really hope he's right. And I really hope that the Western World, this time, will just help Libya (and Egypt, and Tunisia, Yemen and Barhein and all those countries which will follow —it's just a supposition of mine, but if Libyans succeed in their struggle, this success can turn itself into a boost for countries like Algeria, South Arabia, Syria, Morocco, Iran...) to find their own way.
At the very same time, while the Western World Governments are being horrified by the hundreds (perhaps quite more) of people killed in the last days clashes in Libya, they shall admit the hypocrisy which has been leading their approach to the situation in Libya and to all the rest of undeveloped countries. From this article in The Economist:
In al-Hayat, a Saudi-owned pan-Arab daily, Randa Takieddine criticises Western leaders who she says have overlooked Mr Qaddafi’s human-rights abuses in recent years:
This "leader" has, for many years, wasted the wealth of his country, kept his people under lock and key, and nurtured terrorist movements from east to west. And now he is wildly trying to kill off those of his compatriots who would rather die than let him cling to power any longer. Europe and America carry a large part of the responsibility for this because they opened their doors to Qaddafi, rushing to rehabilitate him among the international community.
How many dictatorships have our Western Governments not only "overlooked" but supported till now just for the sake of expanding neoliberalism? How many people have been killed for it?
Something big is happening. Could this lead to a change in the way the Western Governments (from US to the last one: Italy) have approached the rest of the World?
I have to admit I have serious doubts about it. And this make me feel almost blue... I leave you with this song, and go to sleep.